This is the home page for the first half of the course in Mathematics for Policy and Planning Science.
Please let me know if there are any problems with any materials or links posted here.
Caution: Anything not listed as "new", "uploaded", or "updated" in News is unreliable.
(You're welcome to report it anyway, as anything you care about enough to report will get priority for update.)
Watch this space for more updates!
Mon May 25 17:14:58 2020
Mon May 25 16:19:26 2020
Mon May 25 15:31:18 2020
Mon May 25 15:12:06 2020
Notes for Lecture 4 have been uploaded.
Audio is coming very soon.
Sun May 24 17:48:49 2020
Tue May 19 01:25:49 2020
Mon May 18 18:26:51 2020
Mon May 18 16:38:57 2020
Mon May 18 16:35:48 2020
Notes for Lecture 3 have been revised and uploaded.
Audio (Part 4) for Lecture 3 has been uploaded.
Audio (Part 3) for Lecture 3 has been uploaded.
Audio (Part 2) for Lecture 3 has been uploaded.
Audio (Part 1) for Lecture 3 has been uploaded.
Notes for Lecture 3 have been uploaded.
Note that I repeatedly said "Sabin vaccine" in the lecture (Part 2), but the correct version is the "Salk vaccine" as in the notes.
Revised notes for Lecture 2 have been uploaded.
Mon May 11 18:01:43 2020
Mon Apr 27 13:33:39 2020
This is a course which introduces students to the basic use of mathematics in the Policy and Planning Sciences, and to some of the most fundamental mathematical techniques we use. For some students, there will be absolutely nothing new here. Others may have large gaps. Please bear with us; the wide variety of backgrounds makes this an exceptionally hard course to teach.
The first half of the course will introduce the basic notions used in data analysis, especially modeling, but also including probability and basic statistics.
See Links to Lecture Notes and Links to Homework Assignments for schedule information.
| Stephen Turnbull, Associate Professor | ||
|---|---|---|
| Graduate School of Systems and Information Engineering | ||
| Room | Phone | |
| Office | 3F1234 | 53-5091 |
| Lab | 3E401 | 53-5175 |
| turnbull@sk.tsukuba.ac.jp | ||
| Home Page | http://turnbull.sk.tsukuba.ac.jp/ | |
| Schedule | Office hours: By appt. Will schedule drop-in hours on request. Graduate students are welcome to drop in any time, but I reserve the right to say "not now" outside of scheduled office hours. See my schedule page for more information about where to find me when. |
|
| 社会工学博士課程前期 ／ Master Program in Policy and Planning Science | |
|---|---|
| 社会工学のための数学（大１部）／ Mathematics for Policy and Planning Science | |
| Catalog No. | 01CN101 |
| Day/Time | Monday, 5th & 6th (15:15--18:00) |
| Room | 3E404 (2020: online) |
| Home Page | http://turnbull.sk.tsukuba.ac.jp/Teach/ShakoMath/ |
| turnbull@sk.tsukuba.ac.jp | |
| Homework submission | turnbull@sk.tsukuba.ac.jp |
Recommended texts See Lecture 1, page 16, for comments on these texts. |
David Freedman, et al.: Statistics Rex Kline: Principles and Practice of Structural Equation Modeling
Takeshi Amemiya: Introduction to Statistics and Econometrics Daniel Kahneman: Thinking, Fast and Slow |
Note: The dates in the table below are inaccurate.
Note: I have updated the schedule of topics, but this is not yet final. Also, the lecture notes are more less in order, but the topics treated in the notes may correspond to an earlier or later date than described here.
Weeks marked "(TBA)" will be updated later. Those links are unreliable but may be of some use as a preview.
| No | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 3 | Introduction and probability. |
| 2 | June 10 | Using random variables in statistics |
| 3 | June 17 | Lecture 3 |
| 4 | June 24 | Lecture 4 |
| _ | July 1 | Final examination (last 4 weeks!) |
Some homeworks have not been converted to standalone documents. For Homeworks 1 -- 3, see the lecture notes for 4/27 and 5/11.
| Due date | Link |
|---|---|
| #1 5/8 | Homework 1 |
| #2 5/18 | Homework 2 |
| #3 5/18 | Homework 3 |
| #4 5/25 | Homework 4 |
TBA = "To Be Announced" later.
Mon Jul 1 16:58:28 2019
Tue Jun 25 03:26:10 2019
Tue Jun 25 03:01:30 2019
Mon Jun 10 19:02:50 2019
Notes for Lecture 2 have been uploaded.
These are the notes as delivered in lecture. The tables have not been updated; I will do that later. The homeworks are the first few slides of the lecture notes. Homework 1 is the homework assigned last week. Homework 2 is the homework assigned this week.
If you already submitted Homework 1, you do not need to resubmit.
Mon May 21 16:54:10 2018:
Professor Ando and Professor Tuan have switched places, and for personal reasons Professor Ando needs to cancel lecture on May 28. The schedule for the rest of the term is
| Day | Date | Scheduled lecturer |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | May 28 | no lecture |
| Monday | June 4 | Prof. Tuan |
| Monday | June 11 | Prof. Tuan |
| Monday | June 18 | Prof. Ando |
| Monday | June 25 | Prof. Ando |
Mon Apr 23 20:40:13 2018
About submitting homework: It appears that the problem is the university firewall. Sources outside the Tsukuba University network (which includes s.tsukuba.ac.jp, as strange as that sounds, as well as GMail and Yahoo! mail) apparently are simply dropped. Sources inside the university firewall, including wmail.u.tsukuba.ac.jp, are not filtered, and are received at my server.
If you can log in and send mail from wmail.u.tsukuba.ac.jp, that should work.
It appears that very few students have access to wmail.u.tsukuba.ac.jp, so I will continue to investigate the matter.
Mon Apr 23 19:58:08 2018
Mon Apr 16 18:51:34 2018
Sun May 21 22:24:02 2017
Due to mistakes in several midterm exam questions, the midterm exam is cancelled. There will be no class meeting on May 22. Watch this section for updates on how this will be addressed.
試験に間違えった質問に気づいたため、５月２２日に予定された中間試験を 中止します。講義もありません。 対応は後日でここに掲示します。
Mon Apr 17 16:38:05 2017
Mon Apr 17 14:19:55 2017
Notes on Introduction and probability (Lecture 1) uploaded.
Homework 1 through 4 assigned (Note: due dates differ!)
| No | Due date | Link |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | 4/24 | Counting things |
| #2 | 5/8 | Working with sets and interpreting them |
| #3 | 5/8 | Events and probability |
| #4 | 5/8 | Random variables |
Tue May 10 14:21:08 2016
Tue May 10 13:02:03 2016
Mon Apr 25 18:18:57 2016
Mail problem update My mail server ran out of space around 4am on Sunday, April 24, and was unable to accept mail. In Internet mail, this is considered a temporary failure, and the sending mail server will try again. I cleaned up the mess, and mail should start flowing again "soon". You do not need to do anything; your mail should be automatically delivered to me (but this can take a few hours or up to 1 day).
If you have not received an acknowledgment by 9pm Tuesday night, please let me know; that indicates a continuing problem.
Mon Apr 25 15:11:26 2016
Mon Apr 25 14:33:23 2016
Mon Apr 18 16:46:01 2016
Tue Jun 30 18:13:13 2015
Mon Jun 29 10:41:23 2015
Mon Jun 29 04:51:16 2015****Mon Jun 29 09:34:39 2015
Mon Jun 29 04:51:16 2015
Mon Jun 29 02:41:49 2015
Sun Jun 28 01:55:18 2015
Sat Jun 27 00:30:38 2015
Fri Jun 26 18:58:42 2015
Fri Jun 26 13:30:40 2015
Fri Jun 26 02:22:02 2015
The testbank has been posted. This is a preliminary draft, and it will be updated with new questions tomorrow around 13:00 on Friday. Currently it just contains the content of the homeworks, slightly revised.
Some questions require an extremely large amount of computation. Brutal computation is reasonable for homework, but on tests you may assume that computations will be in integers and will be of reasonable quantity.
Some questions contain notes that they would not be used on a test. You may consider that a promise. I will not change my mind and revise the testbank before the examination.
Note 1: I have made no attempt to accurately assign points to each question. Some clearly require far more effort than 10 points worth.
Note 2: Questions labelled “optional” in the homework are not necessarily excluded from use in the examination, but they would be simplified or additional information provided.
Note 3: The general instructions on the first page are known to contain errors. Check for updates.
Wed Jun 24 11:17:24 2015
Tue Jun 23 04:24:54 2015
Sun Jun 21 09:11:01 2015
Sat Jun 13 01:48:27 2015
Thu Jun 11 17:49:27 2015
Wed Jun 3 23:00:00 2015
Thu May 28 16:44:20 2015